On July 7th, the Canadian oil exploration firm known as UTS Energy Corporation (TSX: UTS) announced a transaction that appears to have some intriguing merits. UTS owns interests in a variety of Athabasca oil sands assets in the Canadian province of Alberta, primarily the Fort Hills (20%), Equinox (50%), and Frontier (50%) projects. These are development-stage assets that are not scheduled to provide commercial oil production for at least a few years. This being the case, UTS currently has no revenues, other than interest earned on cash investments and occasional proceeds from the sale of selected properties (e.g., Lease 421).
The French E&P firm Total SA (NYSE: TOT) has agreed to acquire UTS for approximately CAD 3.08 per share in cash, which is a considerable premium to the pre-announcement price of CAD 2.11 per share. However, Total will not be acquiring the entirety of the UTS assets. Under terms of the agreement, Total will only purchase the 20% working interest in the Fort Hills project. This asset is of interest to Total for two reasons. Logically, it expands the company’s asset base in the Athabasca oil sands region of Canada, an area of burgeoning strategic importance. Secondarily, the Fort Hills project is operated and 60%-owned by Suncor (TSX: SU), which has long been the dominant and most successful Canadian oil sands producer in this region.
The remaining interests in the Equinox and Frontier projects will be transferred to a newly-listed company to be known as SilverBirch Energy Corporation. Following a 10:1 conversion of UTS shares, current shareholders will own an identical proportionate interest in SilverBirch. Thus, if the transaction is approved by shareholders, the current UTS owner will receive both the cash consideration from Total and the newly issued shares of SilverBirch.
Although a different corporate identity, SilverBirch will again resemble a development-stage oil sands company. It will own 50% working interests in both Frontier and Equinox, which are estimated to contain 891 million barrels (net to SilverBirch) of contingent bitumen resources, as well as 23,040 acres of undeveloped lands in the Athabasca oil sands region, and CAD 50 million of working capital. Current UTS CEO Dr. William Roach will also lead the newly formed company.
This transaction more or less amounts to the monetization of the Fort Hills asset vis-à-vis the sale to Total. Many investors have contended that UTS has long been undervalued, which was not lost on the ears of company executives. Rather than attempting to create immediate value recognition through the sale of the entire company, perhaps at suboptimal oil prices, thereby further disenchanting shareholders, UTS appears to have reached a reasonable solution that provides near term satisfaction, as well as future appreciation potential through the residual SilverBirch entity. Importantly, though, the transaction must gain two thirds majority shareholder approval at a special meeting to be convened in September of this year. The company reports that 15%-shareholder West Face Capital has already supported the transaction, a maneuver no doubt intended to persuade existing owners.
Finally, should the deal close, Total will clearly benefit from a seasoned and well-capitalized development partner in Suncor; however, one must acknowledge that Suncor may wish to prevent the disclosure of many operational details to which Total would be privy should the two parties become partners. Apart from the strategic motivation to launch a counter offer, the value proposition alone appears compelling.
Using the recent Athabasca Oil Sands Corporation-PetroChina transaction of CAD 0.63 per contingent barrel, the 1.8 contingent barrels per share to which SilverBirch shareholders will be entitled is arguably worth CAD 1.13 per share. Care of the CAD 3.08 in cash and an additional CAD 0.10 per share in working capital, a conservative valuation, then, is CAD 4.31 per share, a 19% premium to where the shares currently trade. For reasons both strategic and opportunistic, it is important to note the potential for future share price appreciation prior to the targeted closing in September.
While not a formal spin-off per se, the inherent value that appears to reside in UTS in its current structure, as well as in the proposed SilverBirch structure, nevertheless justifies a more comprehensive study of the transaction. It is therefore brought to the reader’s attention.