Menu
Home Our Team Sample Research Client Portal Contact Client Portal Login

Matthews International Corporation

Matthews International Corp. (NASDAQ: MATW) reports three operating segments: (1) SGK Brand Solutions (51% of sales and 45% of adjusted EBITDA in F2017); (2) Industrial Technologies (8.5% of revenue and 5% of EBITDA); and (3) Memorialization (40.5% of sales and 50% of EBITDA).

Over the last several years, MATW has added scale to each of its businesses, largely via acquisition, and it could ultimately move to separate the businesses into two distinct entities, with Brand Solutions likely to be paired with Industrial, and with Memorialization as a standalone. The businesses have limited synergies, given distinct manufacturing footprints, and a separation could benefit longer-term operations with respect to growth, margins, and/or capital allocation. Moreover, an elimination of the conglomerate structure could allow investors to more easily evaluate the businesses as well as better target their investment dollars. In terms of stock performance, MATW trades near a 52-week low and the shares have lagged both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 indexes over the last 1-, 3- and 5-year periods, which somewhat weakens the rationale for the current conglomerate structure, in our view.

Considering peer valuations and M&A multiples as well as management’s financial commentary, respective value of $35 per share, $11 per share, and $38 per share can be assigned to the SGK Brand Solutions, Industrial Technologies, and Memorialization businesses. Accounting for projected net debt of $19 per share yields a sum-of-the-parts value of ~$65 per share.

Potential catalysts include the separation of MATW’s core Brand Solutions and Memorialization businesses, accretive acquisitions, incremental synergy realization, share repurchases, and/or accelerating end-market demand. Risks include a lack of execution on internal initiatives, particularly acquisition integration, shifts in technology or consumer preferences, commodity and currency fluctuations, and/or a recession.

Getinge AB (GETIB SS)

Above, please find The European Spin-Off & Restructuring Report  on Getinge AB (GETIB SS).

On October 18, 2016, Getinge AB (GETIB SS), a Swedish medical equipment company, announced its decision to spin off its Patient & Post-Acute Care (PPAC) business through a tax-free spin-off. Getinge shareholders of record as of December 8, 2017, will receive one series A share in Arjo for each share of series A Getinge. Series B shareholders will receive one series B share in Arjo for each share of series B Getinge. In total, 272,369,573 shares will be distributed, of which 18,217,200 will be series A and 254,152,373 will be series B. Each series A share entitles the shareholder to 10 votes, and each series B share entitles the shareholder to one vote at the general meeting. Arjo will trade on the Nasdaq Stockholm exchange under the symbol ARJO B for B shares.

On a pre-spin, sum-of-the-parts basis, shares of Getinge AB are estimated to have a fair value of SEK 130 per share, consisting of SEK 19 per share for Arjo and SEK 111 per share for post-spin Getinge. Given limited upside to the fair value estimate, shares of GETIB are not recommended for purchase prior to the transaction. Post-transaction, we would recommend caution regarding either side of the business, and prior to recommending shares of either post-spin entity, we would need to see a significant margin of safety to the fair value estimates.

The Brunswick Corporation

The Brunswick Corporation (NYSE: BC) operates two distinct recreation-focused business segments: (1) Marine (78% of sales and 77.5% of EBITDA in 2016), which manufactures boats as well as marine engines and parts; and (2) Fitness (22% of sales and 22.5% of EBITDA in 2016), which produces fitness and strength training equipment, such as treadmills, stair climbers, exercise bicycles, and weights. The Fitness segment also includes a small billiards and game room furniture business that was retained following the divestiture of the company’s bowling businesses in 2014.

At roughly 6.5x 2019E EV/EBITDA and less than 12x 2019E P/E, BC is undervalued relative to the sum value of its parts, particularly the high-margin Parts & Accessories piece of its Engine business. In our estimation, near-term headwinds in the company’s Fitness and Boat segments have weighed on the company’s overall valuation, offering investors attractively priced exposure to a healthy marine market (as well as to favorable longer-term fitness trends). While we see ample opportunity for improvement in the Fitness and Boat businesses, we note that BC has shown a willingness to divest businesses if and when value could be created for shareholders.

Considering our financial projections as well as peer and M&A valuations, value of $62 per share and $13 per share can be assigned to BC’s Marine and Fitness businesses. Accounting for corporate costs and projected net debt of ~$6 per share yields a sum-of-the-parts value of roughly $69 per share.

Potential catalysts include the monetization of assets, improved end-market demand/new product launches, tax reform, increased capital returns to shareholders and/or the achievement of financial targets. Potential risks include competition/pricing pressure, currency fluctuations, and seasonality as well as a decline in consumer spending typically associated with an economic recession.

November 2017 Bits & Pieces

Above, please find the Bits & Pieces report for November 2017.

Delphi Automotive PLC (DLPH) – Aptiv PLC (APTV)

Delphi Automotive PLC (NYSE: DLPH) will separate its internal combustion-focused Powertrain business into a new, standalone publicly traded company, to be named Delphi Technologies PLC, via a tax-free spin-off. The post-spin parent company, to be renamed Aptiv PLC (“”APTV””), will be focused on vehicle connectivity, electrification, and autonomous driving. Delphi Automotive shareholders will receive one share of Delphi Technologies (New Delphi, or “”DLPH””) for every three shares of Delphi Automotive held as of the record date of November 22, 2017. The spin-off is expected to be effective at the close of business on December 4, 2017. Based on an analysis of estimated 2018 earnings, pre-spin shares of Delphi Automotive are fairly valued at $104 per share. Post-spin, shares of APTV and DLPH are fairly valued at $86 per share and $53 per share, respectively, with the post-spin DLPH fair value reflecting the one-for-three share distribution ratio.

CONSOL Energy Inc. (CEIX) – CNX Resources Corp. (CNX)

On July 11, 2017, Consol Energy Inc. (NYSE: CNX) announced the filing of a Form 10 registration statement with the SEC for the tax-free spin-off of its Pennsylvania mining operations and other coal assets, to be named CONSOL Energy Inc. Following the spin-off, Consol Energy will change its name to CNX Resources Corporation but retain its current stock symbol on the NYSE (CNX).  Based on an analysis of estimated 2018 EBITDA and proven and probable reserves, a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts fair value estimate of $18 for CNX can be derived. Post-spin, CNX Resources Corp. (CNX) and CONSOL Energy Inc. (CEIX) can be fairly valued at $13 and $41, respectively– the latter based on approximately 28.8 million post-spin shares outstanding (1:8 distribution). With the implied fair value estimate representing 8% potential upside to CNX’s current share price ($16.57 as of this writing), the shares appear to be approaching a full valuation for the transaction. As such, pre-spin shares are not recommended for purchase.

The Madison Square Garden Company

The Madison Square Garden Company (NYSE: MSG) is a holding company controlling a broad range of entertainment assets, grouped into two distinct business segments: (1) Sports, which includes the company’s ownership of professional sports teams, most prominently the New York Knicks (NBA) and the New York Rangers (NHL); and (2) Entertainment, which presents, hosts, or produces live entertainment events, including concerts and shows, at a portfolio of owned and leased venues, including Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, the Forum, and The Chicago Theatre.

In our view, MSG trades at an attractive discount to the sum value of its diverse parts and possesses myriad options to unlock value for shareholders, including a separation of the Sports and Entertainment businesses, the monetization of certain assets, including minority investments, or even a go-private transaction. Notably, following the two-year anniversary of MSG’s spin-off from MSG Networks, which was completed on October 1,2015, the company is currently free to pursue any and all of its strategic options.

Considering asset, M&A, and peer valuations, value of $139 per share, $56 per share, and $25 per share can be assigned to MSG’s Sports teams, owned real estate, and Entertainment assets. Accounting for net cash of ~$56 per share yields a base case sum-of-the-parts value of roughly $275 per share, which implies ~25% potential upside. (Notably, our bull case valuation of $370 per share implies 65% upside, while our bear case of $220 suggests minimal downside.)

Potential catalysts include a separation of MSG’s Sports and Entertainment businesses, asset monetization, minority investments, an LBO, rising asset valuations, and/or share repurchases. Potential risks include changing consumer preferences, labor unrest, asset illiquidity, deterioration in asset valuations, significant insider ownership, and/or a recession.

Jack in the Box Inc.

Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) operates two distinct restaurant concepts: (1) Jack in the Box (73% of sales and 84% of EBITDA in F2016), which, with 2,255 primarily franchised locations in 21 states, is the fifth largest quick-serve hamburger chain; and (2) Qdoba Mexican Eats (27% of sales and 16% of EBITDA in F2016), which, with 720 owned and franchised locations, is the second largest Mexican-inspired fast-casual restaurant chain.

At less than 12x 2018E EV/EBITDA, JACK is undervalued relative to the sum value of its parts, particularly its highly franchised JIB segment. In that regard, the company recently indicated that it was working with advisors to evaluate options for its Qdoba business, which it acquired for $45.5 million in 2003. In our view, a separation would result in multiple expansion for JACK, which trades at a ~300-basis-point discount to the average of its highly franchised quick-service peers. As well, a standalone JIB could support a higher leverage profile, which would provide incremental capital (along with potential proceeds if Qdoba is sold as opposed to spun off) that could be returned to shareholders.

Considering our financial projections as well as peer and M&A valuations, value of $160 per share and $21 per share can be assigned to JACK’s Jack in the Box and Qdoba restaurant businesses. Accounting for corporate costs and projected net debt of ~$64 per share yields a sum-of-the-parts value of roughly $118 per share.

Potential catalysts include the spin-off or sale of Qboda, increased capital returns to shareholders, improved same-store sales trends, and/or the achievement of long-term financial targets. Potential risks include competition, operating cost inflation, inadequate food safety standards, changes in consumer preferences, elevated leverage, and/or a recession.

NKT A/S

On September 11, 2017, the NKT A/S Board of Directors announced that a plan for a demerger of Nilfisk from NKT A/S had been signed. The transaction will take place as a partial, tax-exempt demerger of NKT A/S, with a retrospective effective date of January 1, 2017, for accounting purposes. Following the separation, NKT shareholders will own shares in Nilfisk Holding A/S in the same proportion as they are shareholders in NKT A/S. The distribution of Nilfisk shares is to be made on a one-for-one basis to NKT shareholders on October 12, 2017. On a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts basis, shares of NKT A/S are fairly valued at DKK 606 per share, representing 11.7% upside from the current market price (DKK 542.50 as of this writing). Given the limited potential upside and short time frame until the spin-off, we do not currently recommend the shares for purchase. We would await the completion of the spin-off and look for entry points in the post spin entities at a minimum of 20% below our fair value estimates, in the event that one or both of the stocks experience a degree of selling pressure following the separation.

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) – Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (HBB)

On August 21, 2017, NACCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: NC) announced its intention to spin off its wholly owned subsidiary, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (HBB), resulting in two separately traded public companies. Based on an analysis of estimated 2018 EPS, EBITDA, dividend yield, and estimated free cash flow, a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts fair value estimate of $104 for NC can be derived. Post-spin, NC and HBB can be fairly valued at $36 and $34, respectively, the latter based on 13.6 million fully diluted shares outstanding (Class A and B shares). With the implied fair value estimate representing 25% upside to NC’s current share price ($83.15 as of this writing), the transaction appears likely to generate incremental upside. That said, we expect considerable near-term volatility as shareholders likely rotate out of NC into HBB.