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The Weekly Wrap-Up – November 14, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 


HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):


RECENT INITIATIONS:


LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG)  – November 7, 2025

MODG reports 3Q 2025 results, with Topgolf’s same venue sales inflecting positive for the first time since 1H 2023; 2025E Sales & Adj. EBITDA Guidance, ex-divestitures, Raised (for both TopGolf & the company overall)

 

UPDATE – TriMas Corporation (TRS) – November 4, 2025

TRS to sell its Aerospace business to Tinicum (and Blackstone) for $1.45 billion (or ~18x TTM EBITDA) 

 

UPDATE – Kenvue Inc (KVUE)  – November 3, 2025

KVUE to be acquired by KMB in a cash & stock deal valuing the company at ~$48.7 billion; the transaction is expected to close in 2H 2026

 

UPDATE – NPK International (NPKI)  – October 31, 2025

NPKI reported solid 3Q 2025 results & modestly raised full-year guidance for the 3rd time this year; net cash balance continues to grow while funding share repurchases and high-return investments in rental fleet expansion (due to higher expected demand in 2026); fair value estimate increased to $13.50 per share

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT – Caesars Entertainment Inc. (CZR) – October 27, 2025

Caesars Entertainment (CZR) is a U.S.-focused gaming and hospitality company.

We believe the company is approaching a significant inflection point for FCF generation, which over the next 2.5 years, will amount to at least 50% of its current market cap and is likely to be used for debt reduction and share repurchases.

The regional, land-based casino segment, which accounts for 50% of consolidated sales, vs. 36% for the Las Vegas properties, is positioned to see a significant ramp in profitability as capex is expected to be ~$600m in 2025E compared with roughly $1.2b in each of the last three years.  The fast-growing Digital business (12% of sales, 20% top-line growth), consisting of various online gaming platforms, should generate nearly $500m in EBITDA in 2027 and is clearly not being reflected in CZR’s depressed share price.

The underappreciation of Digital has been publicly remarked upon by activist investor Carl Icahn, who has a 1.2% stake with a reported cost basis of $37/share and a recent agreement to add two representatives to CZR’s expanded 12-member Board.

Based on a 7x blended multiple, our sum-of-the-parts fair value estimate is $34/share, 71% above the current price.  

 


Radar Screen – November 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty  Inc. (COTY), Genuine Parts Company (GPC), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Middleby Corporation (MIDD)*, Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*New this month


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – November 7, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.


UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:


RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Dupont de Nemours Inc. (DD) – November 6, 2025

NewDD Reports Roughly “In-Line” Standalone 3Q 2025 Results; Adjusts 2025E Guidance on Currency Fluctuations; Announces a $0.20 per share Quarterly Dividend as well as a $500 Million Accelerated Share Repurchase (ASR) Program (Amid a Wider $2 Billion Buyback Authorization); Maintain BUY & $48 per share Fair Value Estimate (FVE)

 

UPDATE: Ralliant Corp. (RAL) – November 6, 2025

RAL Tops Consensus in 3Q 2025; Commentary Seemingly Supports Our View of a Gradual Cyclical Recovery at T&M (with On-Going Strength at S&S); Shares Still Look Attractively Priced Off Trough Earnings (as well as RAL’s Overall Exposure to Secular Growth Areas, such as Electrification and Space & Defense)  

 

UPDATE: Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 30, 2025

Honeywell Completes the Tax-Free Separation of Solstice Advanced Materials, Rate Post-Spin HON at BUY & Post-Spin SOLS at NEUTRAL 

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 15, 2025

SOLS, a supplier of refrigerants, propellants and other chemicals accounted for 10% ($3.7B) of 2024 consolidated HON revenue.

We are recommending purchase of HON shares pre-spin with a sum-of-the-parts valuation of $245/share ($16 for Solstice, $229 for NewHoneywell), 20% upside from the current price, by applying a blended multiple of ~16x to pre-spin HON, based on peer and M&A multiples.  Post-spin, our FV for SOLS is $63/share, as shareholders will receive one share of SOLS for every four shares of HON.

We will closely monitor trading in SOLS, as shares may face initial selling pressure, due to its much smaller size relative to the parent, which may present a buying opportunity at some point.

In addition to the SOLS spin-off, HON plans to spin-off the Aerospace business in 2H 2026 and management may further unlock value by monetizing the Productivity Solutions and Workflow Solutions businesses in addition to a potential IPO of Quantinuum, the quantum computing company in which HON has a majority stake and that recently raised capital at a $10b valuation. 

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 10, 2025

DuPont (DD) is spinning off its pure-play electronics business, Qnity (Q), which is expected to complete Nov. 1 with regular-way trading on Nov. 3.  We are recommending purchase of DD shares prior to the spin-off, based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation of $96.50/share ($48 for Qnity and $48.50 for DD), 22% above the current price.

Comparing the two post-spin entities – the parent company, consisting of the Water and Healthcare segments, will be slower growth, lower margin and less capitally intense while providing a higher dividend payout and lower leverage profile.

Qnity management guided for annual organic top-line growth of 6-7% (vs. 3-4% for the parent) across its two businesses – Semiconductor Technologies and Interconnect Solutions driven by exposure to high-growth industries such AI, high-performance computing, and cloud infrastructure.

We believe the market is currently mispricing the value that is likely to be unlocked by this separation.  

 


Radar Screen – November 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty  Inc. (COTY), Genuine Parts Company (GPC), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Middleby Corporation (MIDD)*, Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*added this month


Spin-Off Report Calendar – November 2025

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.


Spin-Off Report Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.


European Spin-Off Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 


Bits & Pieces – October 2025

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – November 7, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 


HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):


RECENT INITIATIONS:


LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG)  – November 7, 2025

MODG reports 3Q 2025 results, with Topgolf’s same venue sales inflecting positive for the first time since 1H 2023; 2025E Sales & Adj. EBITDA Guidance, ex-divestitures, Raised (for both TopGolf & the company overall)

 

UPDATE – TriMas Corporation (TRS) – November 4, 2025

TRS to sell its Aerospace business to Tinicum (and Blackstone) for $1.45 billion (or ~18x TTM EBITDA) 

 

UPDATE – Kenvue Inc (KVUE)  – November 3, 2025

KVUE to be acquired by KMB in a cash & stock deal valuing the company at ~$48.7 billion; the transaction is expected to close in 2H 2026

 

UPDATE – NPK International (NPKI)  – October 31, 2025

NPKI reported solid 3Q 2025 results & modestly raised full-year guidance for the 3rd time this year; net cash balance continues to grow while funding share repurchases and high-return investments in rental fleet expansion (due to higher expected demand in 2026); fair value estimate increased to $13.50 per share

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT – Caesars Entertainment Inc. (CZR) – October 27, 2025

Caesars Entertainment (CZR) is a U.S.-focused gaming and hospitality company.

We believe the company is approaching a significant inflection point for FCF generation, which over the next 2.5 years, will amount to at least 50% of its current market cap and is likely to be used for debt reduction and share repurchases.

The regional, land-based casino segment, which accounts for 50% of consolidated sales, vs. 36% for the Las Vegas properties, is positioned to see a significant ramp in profitability as capex is expected to be ~$600m in 2025E compared with roughly $1.2b in each of the last three years.  The fast-growing Digital business (12% of sales, 20% top-line growth), consisting of various online gaming platforms, should generate nearly $500m in EBITDA in 2027 and is clearly not being reflected in CZR’s depressed share price.

The underappreciation of Digital has been publicly remarked upon by activist investor Carl Icahn, who has a 1.2% stake with a reported cost basis of $37/share and a recent agreement to add two representatives to CZR’s expanded 12-member Board.

Based on a 7x blended multiple, our sum-of-the-parts fair value estimate is $34/share, 71% above the current price.  

 


Radar Screen – November 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty  Inc. (COTY), Genuine Parts Company (GPC), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Middleby Corporation (MIDD)*, Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*New this month


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 31, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.


UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

2025

2026


RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 30, 2025

Honeywell Completes the Tax-Free Separation of Solstice Advanced Materials, Rate Post-Spin HON at BUY & Post-Spin SOLS at NEUTRAL 

 

UPDATE: Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.(WBD)  – October 22, 2025

WBD to Review Strategic Alternatives while Continuing to Advance Toward a Separation  

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 15, 2025

SOLS, a supplier of refrigerants, propellants and other chemicals accounted for 10% ($3.7B) of 2024 consolidated HON revenue.

We are recommending purchase of HON shares pre-spin with a sum-of-the-parts valuation of $245/share ($16 for Solstice, $229 for NewHoneywell), 20% upside from the current price, by applying a blended multiple of ~16x to pre-spin HON, based on peer and M&A multiples.  Post-spin, our FV for SOLS is $63/share, as shareholders will receive one share of SOLS for every four shares of HON.

We will closely monitor trading in SOLS, as shares may face initial selling pressure, due to its much smaller size relative to the parent, which may present a buying opportunity at some point.

In addition to the SOLS spin-off, HON plans to spin-off the Aerospace business in 2H 2026 and management may further unlock value by monetizing the Productivity Solutions and Workflow Solutions businesses in addition to a potential IPO of Quantinuum, the quantum computing company in which HON has a majority stake and that recently raised capital at a $10b valuation. 

 

ALERT:  Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – October 14, 2025

JNJ Announced its Intent to Separate its Orthopedics Business Over the Next 18-24 Months

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 10, 2025

DuPont (DD) is spinning off its pure-play electronics business, Qnity (Q), which is expected to complete Nov. 1 with regular-way trading on Nov. 3.  We are recommending purchase of DD shares prior to the spin-off, based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation of $96.50/share ($48 for Qnity and $48.50 for DD), 22% above the current price.

Comparing the two post-spin entities – the parent company, consisting of the Water and Healthcare segments, will be slower growth, lower margin and less capitally intense while providing a higher dividend payout and lower leverage profile.

Qnity management guided for annual organic top-line growth of 6-7% (vs. 3-4% for the parent) across its two businesses – Semiconductor Technologies and Interconnect Solutions driven by exposure to high-growth industries such AI, high-performance computing, and cloud infrastructure.

We believe the market is currently mispricing the value that is likely to be unlocked by this separation.  

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*added this month


Spin-Off Report Calendar – October 2025

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.


Spin-Off Report Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.


European Spin-Off Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 


Bits & Pieces – October 2025

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 31, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 


HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):


RECENT INITIATIONS:


LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – NPK International (NPKI)  – October 31, 2025

NPKI reported solid 3Q 2025 results & modestly raised full-year guidance for the 3rd time this year; net cash balance continues to grow while funding share repurchases and high-return investments in rental fleet expansion (due to higher expected demand in 2026); fair value estimate increased to $13.50 per share

 

UPDATE – Caesars Entertainment Inc. (CZR) – October 29, 2025

As expected, CZR posts weak 3Q 2025 results, exacerbated by “hold” challenges; management remains optimistic on 4Q 2025 & 1H 2026 results overall and maintains its Digital outlook/targets; intends to continue to use FCF to reduce debt as well as repurchase shares (particularly in 4Q 2025, at current levels)

 

UPDATE – TriMas Corporation (TRS) – October 28, 2025

TRS tops consensus in 3Q 2025 and increases full year 2025E guidance; strategic review remains on going (but is nearing a conclusion) under new leadership; fair value moves to $39 per share

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT – Caesars Entertainment Inc. (CZR) – October 27, 2025

Caesars Entertainment (CZR) is a U.S.-focused gaming and hospitality company.

We believe the company is approaching a significant inflection point for FCF generation, which over the next 2.5 years, will amount to at least 50% of its current market cap and is likely to be used for debt reduction and share repurchases.

The regional, land-based casino segment, which accounts for 50% of consolidated sales, vs. 36% for the Las Vegas properties, is positioned to see a significant ramp in profitability as capex is expected to be ~$600m in 2025E compared with roughly $1.2b in each of the last three years.  The fast-growing Digital business (12% of sales, 20% top-line growth), consisting of various online gaming platforms, should generate nearly $500m in EBITDA in 2027 and is clearly not being reflected in CZR’s depressed share price.

The underappreciation of Digital has been publicly remarked upon by activist investor Carl Icahn, who has a 1.2% stake with a reported cost basis of $37/share and a recent agreement to add two representatives to CZR’s expanded 12-member Board.

Based on a 7x blended multiple, our sum-of-the-parts fair value estimate is $34/share, 71% above the current price.  

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*New this month


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 24, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.


UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

2025

2026


RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.  – October 22, 2025

WBD to Review Strategic Alternatives while Continuing to Advance Toward a Separation  

 

UPDATE: Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 16, 2025

HON’s Board Approves Solstice Spin-Off; Completion Date Set for October 30th; Maintain $245 FVE

 

UPDATE:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 16, 2025

DuPonts’s Board (DD) Approves the Qnity Spin-Off; Completion set for November 1st (with an October 22nd Record Date); Maintain $96.50 FVE

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 15, 2025

SOLS, a supplier of refrigerants, propellants and other chemicals accounted for 10% ($3.7B) of 2024 consolidated HON revenue.

We are recommending purchase of HON shares pre-spin with a sum-of-the-parts valuation of $245/share ($16 for Solstice, $229 for NewHoneywell), 20% upside from the current price, by applying a blended multiple of ~16x to pre-spin HON, based on peer and M&A multiples.  Post-spin, our FV for SOLS is $63/share, as shareholders will receive one share of SOLS for every four shares of HON.

We will closely monitor trading in SOLS, as shares may face initial selling pressure, due to its much smaller size relative to the parent, which may present a buying opportunity at some point.

In addition to the SOLS spin-off, HON plans to spin-off the Aerospace business in 2H 2026 and management may further unlock value by monetizing the Productivity Solutions and Workflow Solutions businesses in addition to a potential IPO of Quantinuum, the quantum computing company in which HON has a majority stake and that recently raised capital at a $10b valuation. 

 

ALERT:  Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – October 14, 2025

JNJ Announced its Intent to Separate its Orthopedics Business Over the Next 18-24 Months

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 10, 2025

DuPont (DD) is spinning off its pure-play electronics business, Qnity (Q), which is expected to complete Nov. 1 with regular-way trading on Nov. 3.  We are recommending purchase of DD shares prior to the spin-off, based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation of $96.50/share ($48 for Qnity and $48.50 for DD), 22% above the current price.

Comparing the two post-spin entities – the parent company, consisting of the Water and Healthcare segments, will be slower growth, lower margin and less capitally intense while providing a higher dividend payout and lower leverage profile.

Qnity management guided for annual organic top-line growth of 6-7% (vs. 3-4% for the parent) across its two businesses – Semiconductor Technologies and Interconnect Solutions driven by exposure to high-growth industries such AI, high-performance computing, and cloud infrastructure.

We believe the market is currently mispricing the value that is likely to be unlocked by this separation.  

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*added this month


Spin-Off Report Calendar – October 2025

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.


Spin-Off Report Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.


European Spin-Off Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 


Bits & Pieces – October 2025

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 24, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 


HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):


RECENT INITIATIONS:


LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) – October 24, 2025

A lot to like in 3Q 2025 with increased guidance, a lift to the dividend, proactive debt repayment as well as re-accelerated share repurchases; fair value increased to $16 per share (up from $14 per share)

UPDATE – Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG) – October 22, 2025

MODG is reportedly exploring the sale of its Callaway golf business amid the on-going (albeit delayed) process to separate its Equipment & Entertainment Businesses; maintain $11 per share fair value estimate

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*New this month


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 17, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.


UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

2025

2026


RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 16, 2025

HON’s Board Approves Solstice Spin-Off; Completion Date Set for October 30th; Maintain $245 FVE

This morning, before the market open, Honeywell International Inc. (HON) announced that its Board had approved the tax-free spin-off of its Advanced Materials business, which will be named Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. and trade on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange (NASDAQ) under the ticker “SOLS”.  Shareholders of record will receive one share of SOLS for every four shares owned of Honeywell, which will continue to trade under the same listing and maintain the current corporate moniker. So-called “when-issued” trading is expected to begin trading on October 20th under the ticker “SOLSV” with “regular-way” trading commencing on (“or about”) October 30, 2025.  

For its part, Solstice generated ~$3.8 billion of sales in 2024, split roughly 70%/30% between Refrigerants & Applied Solutions and Electronics & Specialty Materials, with adj. standalone EBITDA of nearly $1.0 billion.  For 2025E, the standalone company is anecdotally projected to post annual sales of $3.75-$3.85 billion, with a projected EBITDA margin of ~25%, implying, by our calculation, adj. 2025E EBITDA of ~$935-$965 million.  RemainCo, which includes the Aerospace segment as well as the broader Automation business will be comprised of two segments, each generating roughly ~$17 billion of sales and ~$4.5-$5.0 billion of segment-level adjusted EBITDA.  

On a sum-of-the-parts basis, we fairly value pre-spin HON at ~$245 per share, consisting of $16 per share for Solstice and $229 per share for NewHoneywell.  On a post-spin basis, reflecting the four-for-one distribution ratio, shares of Solstice are fairly valued at ~$63 per share, with NewHoneywell at ~$229 per share.  Given the implied upside, we, again, recommend a pre-spin purchase of HON shares but would note that we think it is possible that post-spin shares of Solstice, which may have longer-term opportunities to participate in potential industry consolidation, may struggle to gain initial traction while it accumulates its own individual shareholder constituency; to that end, it also seems reasonable to assert that the bulk of current HON shareowners are primarily focused on the larger Aerospace and Automation businesses. 

For context, this transaction comes within the backdrop of both company specific activist-investor pressure as well as a seemingly broader apathy on the part of investors toward so-called “multi-industry” conglomerates, such as HON.  To that end, it is notable to point out that Dupont is on the verge of completing a step in its own journey toward a simpler, more focused portfolio with the impending spin-off of Qnity Electronics. Additionally, a long list of other companies have generated substantial overall shareholder value by reducing complexity in recent years, including, among others, Danaher, GE, United Technologies, Tyco, Ingersoll Rand, Johnson Controls, Pentair and ITT.  In that context, while we would assert that the impending spin-off of Solstice will be an incremental positive when considering the obvious size disparity between SpinCo & RemainCo, the transaction is likely to represent just the opening salvo in a wider value-unlocking process that will stretch into late-2026/early-2027. Other impending portfolio actions include the potential monetization of PSS and WWS, which will simplify the future standalone Automation company, as well as the planned spin-off of the Aerospace business and the latent potential for an initial public offering (IPO) of Quantinuum, representing other key milestones in a potentially significant multi-year re-rating process for legacy HON.

 

UPDATE:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 16, 2025

DuPonts’s Board (DD) Approves the Qnity Spin-Off; Completion set for November 1st (with an October 22nd Record Date); Maintain $96.50 FVE

Last night, after the market close, DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) announced that its Board had approved the tax-free spin-off of its Electronics business, which will be named Qnity Electronics, Inc. and trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “Q”.  As previously disclosed, the transaction is expected to be completed on November 1, 2025, with “regular-way” trading commencing on November 3, 2025.  Shareholders of record, as of October 22, 2025, will receive one share of Qnity for every two shares of Dupont owned.  

Our sum-of-the-parts, pre-spin valuation for DD remains ~$96.50 per share, consisting of ~$48 per share for Qnity and ~$48.50 per share for NewDupont. On a post-spin basis, reflecting the 1-for-2 distribution ratio, shares of Qnity are fairly valued at ~$96 per share with NewDupont at ~$48.50 per share.  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimate, along with our expectation of a relatively orderly debut for both companies our pre-spin recommendation remains BUY.  In terms of trading intricacies, from October 27th thru the 31st, there will be two markets for DD; the first, a “regular-way” market under the current ticker (DD), which will include the right to receive shares of Q as well as a so-called “ex-distribution”  market trading under the ticker “DD WI” that will be exchanged without any claims to post-spin Q.  As well, just from a technical perspective, if one sells their “regular-way” shares of DD on or before the last trading day prior to distribution they will forfeit the right to receive an interest in post-spin Qnity.

For reference, post-spin, NewDuPont, including the impending $1.8 billion sale of Aramids, is expected to generate ~$6.9 billion in 2025E sales, which are roughly evenly split between the Water & Healthcare and Diversified Industrial businesses, with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.6 billion while Qnity Electronics is expected to post 2025E sales of ~$4.6 billion, again, roughly split between Semiconductor Technologies and Interconnect Solutions, with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.4 billion.  Beyond the standard rationale of improved management/strategic focus, enhanced operational flexibility, optimized capital structures & capital allocation policies, one could summarily characterize NewDupont as the slower-growing concern, at least from a top-line perspective, and lower-margin, albeit with less capital intensity. Also, it will have a higher level of committed capital returns, as well as a lower leverage profile. Additionally, NewDupont expects to maintain an investment grade credit rating (i.e., BBB+) and is a component of the S&P 500 Index.  In comparison, Qnity is the relatively higher growth, higher margin business, albeit with a higher expected leverage profile, as well as a lower committed shareholder return profile and a non-investment grade (i.e., BB+) credit rating. 

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – October 15, 2025

On October 8, 2024, Honeywell International Inc. (HON) announced plans for a tax-free spin-off of its Advanced Materials (AM) business into an independent, publicly traded entity, which will be named Solstice Advanced Materials and trade on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange under the ticker “SOLS”.  The transaction, which does not require shareholder approval, is expected to be completed on October 30, 2025.  Shareholders of record will receive one share of SOLS for every four shares owned of Honeywell, which will continue to trade under the same listing and maintain the current corporate moniker. Separately, in addition to the impending Solstice transaction, on February 6, 2025, Honeywell announced plans for the tax-free separation, of its remaining Automation and Aerospace businesses, which is targeted for completion in 2H 2026, subject customary conditions, including the filing & effectiveness of a Form 10 registration statement with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC), the receipt of various regulatory approvals and final consent of HON’s Board of Directors.  For a degree of perspective on the decision to ultimately separate into three independent companies, rather than two, we would note that in November 2024, activist-investor Elliott Investment Management issued a public letter to HON’s Board indicating it had made “a more than $5 billion” investment in the company, suggesting, among other things, the further separation of HON’s Aerospace & Automation businesses.  Subsequently, in May 2025, the two parties entered into a so-called cooperation agreement where HON’s 11-member Board was expanded by one to include Marc Steinberg, a partner at Elliott, as a new independent director.

For its part, Solstice generated ~$3.8 billion of sales in 2024, split roughly 70%/30% between Refrigerants & Applied Solutions and Electronics & Specialty Materials, with adj. standalone EBITDA of nearly $1.0 billion.  For 2025E, the standalone company is anecdotally projected to post annual sales of $3.75-$3.85 billion with a projected EBITDA margin of ~25%, implying, by our calculation, adj. 2025E EBITDA of ~$935-$965 million. RemainCo, which includes the Aerospace segment as well the broader Automation business will be comprised of two segments each generating roughly ~$17 billion of sales and ~$4.5-$5.0 billion of segment-level adjusted EBITDA.  

In terms of post-spin leadership, Solstice will be led by current head of the Advanced Materials (AM) business David Sewell who will assume the president & chief executive officer (CEO) roles as well as join SOLS’s 10-member board, which will be chaired by Dr. Rajeev Gautum.  Tina Pierce, the AM segment’s current finance chief has been named SOLS’s chief financial officer (CFO).  Current, HON CEO, Vimal Kupur will maintain his position post-spin.  

For context, this transaction comes within the backdrop of both company specific activist-investor pressure as well as a seemingly broader apathy on the part of investors toward so-called “multi-industry” conglomerates, such as HON.  To that end, it is notable to point out that Dupont is on the verge of completing a step in its own journey toward a simpler, more focused portfolio with the impending spin-off of Qnity Electronics while a long-list of other companies have generated substantial overall shareholder value by reducing complexity in recent years, including, among others, Danaher, GE, United Technologies, Tyco, Ingersoll Rand, Johnson Controls, Pentair and ITT. In that context, while we would assert that the impending spin-off of Solstice will be an incremental positive when considering the obvious size disparity between SpinCo & RemainCo the transaction is likely to represent just the opening salvo in a wider value unlocking process that will stretch into late-2026/early-2027 with other impending portfolio actions, including the potential monetization of PSS and WWS, which will simplify the future standalone Automation company, as well as the planned spin-off of the Aerospace business and the latent potential for an initial public offering (IPO) of Quantinuum, representing other key milestones in a potentially significant multi-year re-rating process for legacy HON.  In this context, we assign a BUY rating to pre-spin shares of HON. On a sum of the parts basis, we fairly value shares of pre-spin HON at ~$245 per share, consisting of $16 per share for Solstice and $229 per share for NewHoneywell.  On a post-spin basis, reflecting the four-for-one distribution level, shares of Solstice are fairly valued at ~$63 per share with NewHoneywell at ~$229 per share.  Given the implied upside, we, again, recommend a pre-spin purchase of HON shares but would note that we think it is possible that post-spin shares of Solstice, which may have longer-term opportunities to participate in potential industry consolidation, may struggle to gain initial traction while it accumulates its own individual shareholder constituency; to that end, it seems reasonable to assert that the bulk of current HON shareowners are likely primarily focused on the larger Aerospace and Automation businesses. 

 

ALERT:  Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – October 14, 2025

JNJ Announced its Intent to Separate its Orthopedics Business Over the Next 18-24 Months

On October 14, 2025, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), a global pharmaceutical company, announced its intention to separate its orthopedics business over the next 18-24 months, subject to customary conditions, including final Board approval. While management’s presumed structure for the transaction is a tax-free spin-off, the company will simultaneously explore a range of avenues to “optimize” shareholder value, including a sale.  As a separate entity, the orthopedics business, which generated ~$9.2 billion of revenue in 2024 and focuses on hip & knee replacements as well as spinal equipment, will operate as DePuy Synthes and be led by Mr. Namal Nawana.

Beyond the standard rationale of improved management/strategic focus and enhanced operational flexibility we note that the announcement comes within the context of JNJ’s multi-year effort to focus on higher-growth and higher-margin products/markets.  To that end, management anecdotally indicates that the DePuy Synthes separation “will further strengthen our overall MedTech business, and increase Johnson & Johnson’s top-line growth and margins”. Further, the company elaborated for a degree of directional context, that if one looks at “normalized year-to-date 2025 results, MedTech’s top-line revenue growth and operating margin would both improve by at least 75 basis points” without the impact of orthopedics.  (For a degree of additional historical context, recall JNJ competed the tax-free spin-off of its consumer-health business, Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) in August 2023.)

Applying a blended multiple of ~17.0x to 2026E adj. EPS that is roughly in-line with current consensus forecasts yields a preliminary, base case, sum-of-the-parts valuation of ~$194 per share.

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 10, 2025

On May 22, 2024, DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) announced its intention to separate into three independent publicly traded companies via the tax-free spin-offs of its Electronics and Water businesses. The separations were initially expected to be completed within 18-24 months of the announcement, subject to customary conditions, which notably did not include shareholder approval.  Subsequently, on January 15, 2025, Dupont indicated that it intended to accelerate the tax-free spin-off of its Electronics business but retain its Water business. All told, the tax-free spin-off of Dupont’s Electronics business, which will be named Qnity Electronics, Inc. and trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “Q” is expected to be completed on November 1, 2025 with regular-way trading commencing on November 3, 2025.  Shareholders of record, as of October 22, 2025, will receive one share of Qnity for every two shares of Dupont owned.  As of November 3, 2025, NewDupont will continue to trade under the same listing (DD) and maintain the current corporate moniker.

Post-spin, NewDuPont, including the impending sale of Aramids, is expected to generate ~$6.9 billion in 2025E sales, which are roughly evenly split between the Water & Healthcare and Diversified Industrial businesses, with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.6 billion while Qnity Electronics is expected to post 2025E sales of ~$4.6 billion, again, roughly split between Semiconductor Technologies and Interconnect Solutions, with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.4 billion.  Beyond the standard rationale of improved management/strategic focus, enhanced operational flexibility, optimized capital structures & capital allocation policies, one could summarily characterize NewDupont as the slower-growing concern, at least from a top-line perspective and lower-margin, albeit with less capital intensity. Also, it will have a higher level of committed capital returns, as well as a lower leverage profile. Also, NewDupont expects to maintain an investment grade credit rating (i.e., BBB+) and is a component of the S&P 500 Index. 

In terms of leadership, post-spin Dupont will continue to be led by DD’s current chief executive officer Lori Koch, as well as DD’s current CFO, Antonella Franzen.  Jeroen Bloemhard, currently the general manager of the Water business will lead the Healthcare & Water Protection business, and Beth Ferreira, who recently joined the company in July 2025 following stints at Illinois Tool Works and IMI Plc, will be President of the Diversified Industrials business. For post spin Qnity, Jon Kemp, who served as the head of DD’s previous Electronics & Industrial segment since August 2019, will assume the helm of standalone SpinCo, as well as join the Board of Directors, with Mr. Matthew Harbaugh joining as the chief financial officer (CFO).  Mr. Mark Blinn, the former CEO & CFO of Flowserve Corp., will assume the Chairman of the Board role while current DD Board members Terrence Curtin, Kristina Johnson and Steven Sterin will also be joining the 9-member Qnity Board, which we note will have a staggered three-class election structure. 

On a sum-of-the-parts basis, we fairly value pre-spin DD at ~$96.50 per share, consisting of ~$48 per share for Qnity and ~$48.50 per share for NewDupont. On a post-spin basis, reflecting a 1-for-2 distribution ratio, shares of Qnity are fairly valued at ~$96 per share with NewDupont at ~$48.50 per share.  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimates, along with our expectation of a relatively orderly debut for both companies our pre-spin recommendation is BUY.  

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*added this month


Spin-Off Report Calendar – October 2025

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.


Spin-Off Report Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.


European Spin-Off Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 


Bits & Pieces – October 2025

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 17, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 


HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):


RECENT INITIATIONS:


LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – U-Haul Holding Corp. (UHAL) – August 27, 2025

Per an internal survey, UHAL’s core equipment rental business continues to dominate the 20’-22’ one-way truck market and remains the increasingly clear leader in the more competitive 10’-16’ markets

With the back-to-school season upon us, we thought it might be an interesting exercise to re-evaluate a snapshot of the do-it-yourself (DIY) moving market’s competitive landscape. To that end, we simulated 20 potential moving transactions of theoretical students returning to college/university.

We think the results broadly support our contention that UHAL’s core truck rental offering has durable competitive advantages in what we discern are the main factors of differentiation, namely the availability of equipment, the proximity of rental locations, and price.

We conducted an identical survey in August 2018 where the results indicated U-Haul was the “clear” or “likely” choice in the 20’-22’ market for 90%-95% of the transactions. In the 10’-16’ market, we discerned U-Haul was the “clear” or “likely” choice in 40%-45% of the transactions and a “reasonable” choice in ~60% of the transactions, which, all told, suggests to us that while the competitive environment has not tectonically shifted U-Haul has seemingly extended its lead against the competition.

All told, it remains our view at ~7.5x F2027E EV/EBITDA UHAL is undervalued relative to the sum value of its parts, which includes the leading/dominant equipment rental business as well as a high-margin/low-incremental-capex self-storage business.  Our fair value estimate remains $76.50 per share.

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*New this month


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – October 10, 2025

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.


UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

2025

2026


RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT:  DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) – October 10, 2025

On May 22, 2024, DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) announced its intention to separate into three independent publicly traded companies via the tax-free spin-offs of its Electronics and Water businesses. The separations were initially expected to be completed within 18-24 months of the announcement, subject to customary conditions, which notably did not include shareholder approval.  Subsequently, on January 15, 2025, Dupont indicated that it intended to accelerate the tax-free spin-off of its Electronics business but retain its Water business (which will remain paired with DD’s core Healthcare segment). All told, the tax-free spin-off of Dupont’s Electronics business, which will be named Qnity Electronics, Inc. and trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “Q” is expected to be completed on November 1, 2025 with regular-way trading commencing on November 3, 2025.  Shareholders of record, as of October 22, 2025, will receive one share of Qnity for every two shares of Dupont owned.  As of November 3, 2025, NewDupont will continue to trade under the same listing (DD) and maintain the current corporate moniker.

Post-spin, NewDuPont, including the impending sale of Aramids, is expected to generate ~$6.9 billion in 2025E sales, which are roughly evenly split between the Water & Healthcare and Diversified Industrial businesses, with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.6 billion while Qnity Electronics is expected to post 2025E sales of ~$4.6 billion, again, roughly split between Semiconductor Technologies and Interconnect Solutions, with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.4 billion.  Beyond the standard rationale of improved management/strategic focus, enhanced operational flexibility, optimized capital structures & capital allocation policies, one could summarily characterize NewDupont as the slower-growing concern, at least from a top-line perspective and lower-margin, albeit with less capital intensity. Also, it will have a higher level of committed capital returns, as well as a lower leverage profile. Also, NewDupont expects to maintain an investment grade credit rating (i.e., BBB+) and is a component of the S&P 500 Index. 

In terms of leadership, post-spin Dupont will continue to be led by DD’s current chief executive officer Lori Koch, as well as DD’s current CFO, Antonella Franzen.  Jeroen Bloemhard, currently the general manager of the Water business will lead the Healthcare & Water Protection business, and Beth Ferreira, who recently joined the company in July 2025 following stints at Illinois Tool Works and IMI Plc, will be President of the Diversified Industrials business. For post spin Qnity, Jon Kemp, who served as the head of DD’s previous Electronics & Industrial segment since August 2019, will assume the helm of standalone SpinCo, as well as join the Board of Directors, with Mr. Matthew Harbaugh joining as the chief financial officer (CFO).  Mr. Mark Blinn, the former CEO & CFO of Flowserve Corp., will assume the Chairman of the Board role while current DD Board members Terrence Curtin, Kristina Johnson and Steven Sterin will also be joining the 9-member Qnity Board, which we note will have a staggered three-class election structure. 

On a sum-of-the-parts basis, we fairly value pre-spin DD at ~$96.50 per share, consisting of ~$48 per share for Qnity and ~$48.50 per share for NewDupont. On a post-spin basis, reflecting a 1-for-2 distribution ratio, shares of Qnity are fairly valued at ~$96 per share with NewDupont at ~$48.50 per share.  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimates, along with our expectation of a relatively orderly debut for both companies our pre-spin recommendation is BUY.  

 

ALERT: Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) – October 1, 2025

CTVA to Separate its Crop Protection & Seed Businesses via a Tax-Free Spin-Off in 2H 2026

On October 1, 2025, before the market open, Corteva, Inc. (CTVA), a global agricultural company that was spun off from Dupont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) in June 2019, announced plans to separate its Crop Protection and Seed businesses into two publicly traded entities via a tax-free transaction that is expected to be completed in 2H 2026, subject to customary conditions, including final Board approval.

Beyond the standard rationale of improved management/strategic focus, enhanced operational flexibility, optimized capital structures & capital allocation policies the company indicates that the separation will better equip NewCorteva, which is projected to generate ~$7.8 billion of sales in 2025 with adj. operating EBITDA of ~$1.35 billion, to compete, largely via investments in innovation, within an increasingly competitive market while SpinCo, which is projected to generate ~$9.9 billion of sales in 2025 with adj. operating EBITDA of $2.6 billion, will become a “classic growth compounder”.  In terms of leadership, CTVA’s current Board Chairman, Greg Page, will become the Chair of NewCorteva while CTVA’s current chief executive officer (CEO) will assume the helm at SpinCo.  Both companies are targeting investment grade credit ratings on a standalone basis, while NewCorteva will retain all legacy liabilities, including historical Dupont pension plans as well as all PFAS obligations, which we cursorily estimate are likely capped at ~$200 million. 

Primary players in the wider agricultural sector include, CF Industries (CF), FMC Corp. (FMC), Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), which merged with PotashCorp in 2018 at an implied valuation of ~9.5x, Mosaic Company (MOS), Intrepid Potash (NYSE: IPI), Bayer AG (BAYN GR), which purchased Monsanto in 2016 at ~16x, ChemChina (private), which purchased Syngenta in 2016 for ~16.5x, Yara International (YAR NO), K+S AG (SDF GR), Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile (SQM), and ICL Group (ICL), which, as a group, trade, on average of ~7x 2026E EV/EBITDA (in a range of 5x-8x).  Applying a 13x multiple to the higher-margin Seed business and a peer 7.0x multiple to the Crop Protection business implies segment values of ~$44.5 billion and $9.5 billion, respectively. Accounting for corporate costs as well as projected net debt yields a sum of the parts value of ~$51.0 billion or ~$75 per share.

 

ALERT: KBR, Inc. (KBR) – September 24, 2025

KBR to Separate its Mission Technologies Business in a Tax-Free Spin-Off Expected to be Completed in Mid-to-Late 2026

On September 24, 2025, KBR, Inc. (KBR), a global IT services contractor, announced plans to separate its government-focused Mission Technology Solutions (MTS) business from its energy & infrastructure focused Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS or NewKBR) business via a tax-free spin-off that is expected to be completed in “mid-to-late” 2026, subject to customary conditions, including regulatory approvals and final Board approval.  

Beyond the standard rationale of improved management/strategic focus, enhanced operational flexibility, optimized capital structures & capital allocation policies we would note that this step is likely the culmination of KBR’s multi-year transformation efforts aimed at focusing on an asset-light business model with differentiated/proprietary (i.e., less commoditized) solutions that generate stable/predictable cash flows.  To that end, one could surmise that beyond the contention that this transaction will unlock value a secondary motivation would be to reduce NewKBR’s exposure to fluctuations in federal IT spending, which has been a recent overhang for the group.  Additionally, we would note that in December 2024, activist investor Irenic Capital, purportedly a ~1% holder, announced plans to push KBR to separate its MTS and STS segments.  Subsequently, in January 2025, KBR announced a segment realignment, which among other things, resulted in the former Government Solutions segment being renamed Mission Technology Solutions (MTS).

Applying a blended multiple of ~10.0x EV/EBITDA to 2026E adj. EBITDA, which reflects a multiple roughly in-line with peers to the faster-growing, higher margin STS business and a modest discount to MTS, implies values of ~$5.5 billion and ~$4.85 billion, respectively. Accounting for projected net debt yields a preliminary, base case, sum-of-the-parts valuation of ~$8.1 billion or ~$63 per share.

 

UPDATE:  Ralliant Corp. (RAL)– September 18, 2025

Upgrade RAL to BUY (from NEUTRAL) With Shares Seemingly Attractively Priced Off Trough Earnings & Ahead of a Potential Cyclical Upturn at the T&M Segment (as well as RAL’s Overall Exposure to Several Secular Growth Areas)  

Ralliant Corp. (RAL) completed its tax-free separation from Fortive Corp. (FTV) in late June 2025; since that time, amid initial technical factors as well as the reality that a portion of RAL’s underlying business, primarily within the Test & Measurement (T&M) segment, is in the midst of a relatively prolonged cyclical downtrend, shares have declined ~21% since its debut.

In that context, with shares currently trading at ~12x 2026E EV/EBITDA and 16x 2026E EPS, a notable discount to all relevant peers, we contend shares are attractively priced, particularly off what we view as trough earnings and ahead of what is expected to be cyclical recovery in looking into 2026E.   On a comparative basis, the higher-margin Sensors & Safety Systems (S&S) segment, which accounts for ~60% of consolidated sales at RAL, has posted relatively steady (albeit modest) core growth over the last several years.

While we are admittedly only modeling a relatively gradual slope of top-line improvement looking in 2026E it strikes us that the risk to our numbers is likely to the upside, particularly given the depth/length of the downturn at T&M as well RAL’s exposure to secular demand trends, including grid modernization/new power demand, space & defense and electrification, among others.  Moreover, considering that incremental margins on organic growth have historically ranged in the 45%-50% area management’s current 30%-35% commentary/target could prove somewhat conservative.

Succinctly, we upgrade shares to BUY (from NEUTRAL) as we think shares currently offer an attractive opportunity to purchase a “beaten-down” but high-quality, and now pure-play SpinCo that is trading at a historically low multiple amid a cyclical downturn but ahead of what seems to be the cusp of a modest cyclical recovery 

 

 


Radar Screen – October 2025

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)*, Coty  Inc. (COTY)*, Genuine Parts Company (GPC)*, Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Sealed Air Corp. (SEE), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), TriMas Corporation (TRS), XPO Inc. (XPO)

*added this month


Spin-Off Report Calendar – October 2025

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.


Spin-Off Report Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.


European Spin-Off Compendium – August 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 


Bits & Pieces – September 2025

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.


Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566