Woori Finance Holdings is one of the leading South Korean diversified financial companies, with assets of KRW 332,803 billion as of September 30th, 2013. Known also as Woori Financial Group, the company was created in 2001 by the Korean Government as a vehicle to consolidate four commercial banks and one investment bank—Hanvit, Peace, Kwangju, Kyongnam and Hanaro Investment Banking—given the prolonged weakness in the country’s financial sector following the 1997 crisis. Currently, the firm has expanded its operations to credit cards, securities and investment banking, asset management, insurance and consumer finance.
On December 2nd, Woori Finance filed an Information Statement with the SEC regarding the spin-off of two of its regional banks, Kwangju Bank and Kyongnam Bank. More specifically, current shareholders will receive 0.0636664 shares of KJB Financial Group (“KJB”), the 100% owner of Kwangju Bank, and 0.0972946 shares of KNB Financial Group (“KNB”), the 100% owner of Kyongnam Bank. Following the demerger and pursuant to Korean law, each share of Woori Finance Holdings will be exchanged for 0.8390390 shares of the same company. Holders of ADRs, traded at the NYSE and representing three common shares of Woori Finance Holdings, will not receive new shares of KJB and KNB, but instead will receive the cash proceeds from the sale of the shares—which will be arranged by Citigroup—after the spin-off. The demerger is expected to be complete by March 1st, 2014 and is subject to the necessary regulatory and shareholder approvals, while its tax status remains uncertain. The spun-off companies are expected to be listed at the KRX KOSPI Market and will be distributed to eligible shareholders on March 14th.
KJB Financial Group, will be the holding company of Kwangju Bank (“Kwangju”). As of September 30th, 2013, KJB had assets of KRW 18,945 billion and equity of KRW 1,361 billion. While the bank appears to be sufficiently capitalized, with a capital adequacy ratio of 13.7%, it has grown its asset base rapidly over the past few years, and it reported a 28% YoY increase in impairment losses. Moreover, it operates in two regions with subpar economic growth over the past decade and reliance on agriculture and tourism, two relatively volatile industries. KJB Financial Group could be valued at KRW 17,200 per share, based on its trailing twelve month net income, but shares would be recommended closer to the lower end of our valuation, at KRW 16,500, at a price that offers a 34% discount to book value and 27% discount to tangible equity.
KNB Financial Group will own 100% of the shares of Kyongnam Bank (“Kyongnam”). As of September 30th, 2013, KNB had assets of KRW 32,272 billion and equity of KRW 2,206 billion. KNB Financial Group shares are recommended for purchase at a price below the target level of KRW 22,700, based on the company’s strong profitability, high capital adequacy and geographical focus on one of South Korea’s industrial strongholds that offers additional opportunities for healthy expansion.
Woori Finance Holdings is in the process of selling some of its wholly owned subsidiaries, as well as its stakes in Woori Investment & Securities and Woori Financial, a process that is expected to be complete within 2014. Woori Finance Holdings has significantly lower asset quality, and it would not be surprising for the parent company to trade at a discount to its peers, at an estimated fair value of KRW 11,000 per share. However, increasing impairments for credit losses and subpar profitability could lead the stock price to as low as KRW 6,600. With the initial estimated fair value not providing a good risk/reward trade-off, shares are recommended only at the lower end of our valuation range.
The sum-of-the-parts valuation of Woori Finance Holdings before the spin-off is KRW 12,500 per share, which compares to the company’s current share price of KRW 12,350. The sum-of-the parts valuation, along with the potential taxable nature of the spin-off, the 33% potential downside and, most importantly, the uncertainty regarding Woori Finance Holdings’ asset monetization efforts, render the company an unattractive investment prior to the spin-off. Rather, investors are advised to wait for the completion of the spin-off and try to capitalize on: potential mispricing due to investor unawareness of the small, regional banks—particularly KNB Financial Group; the potential stock price overhang until KDIC’s stake is sold; and a potential acquisition premium if the new controlling shareholders decide to make a public offer.