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The Weekly Wrap-Up – May 8, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.

UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB) – May 8, 2026

Close Coverage of SPB As Strategic Investment in HPC from Oaktree likely puts a Spin-Off on the Backburner (with a Sale, at some point, likely being the More Likely Long-Term Outcome, in our view)

 

ALERT: Flex Ltd. (FLEX) – May 6, 2026

FLEX to Spin-Off its Cloud & Power Infrastructure Business in a Tax-Free Transaction Targeted for Completion in 1Q 2027

 

UPDATE: Qnity Electronics (Q)  – May 1, 2026

Close Coverage of Post-Spin Qnity (Q) with Shares Trading Roughly In-Line with our FVE, Effective as of Today’s Market Close

 

UPDATE: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 9, 2026

FDXF Holds its Inaugural Investor Day; Targets “Medium-Term” Growth in Sales & Adj. EBIT of 4%-6% & 10%-12%, Respectively, w/ ~$1 Billion of Annual FCF Generation; FVE Raised to $435 per share (from $429.50 per share), Maintain Pre-Spin BUY

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 6, 2026

On December 19, 2024, FedEx Corporation (FDX), a global transportation company headquartered in Memphis, TN, announced that following an internal strategic assessment of its North American less-than-truckload (LTL) or Freight division the company intended to pursue a separation of its core-Parcel and Freight (LTL) businesses into two standalone, publicly-traded companies via a tax-free spin-off.  Roughly in line with management’s initial expectations, in terms of timing, the transaction is expected to be completed on June 1, 2026, subject to customary conditions, including regulatory and final Board approvals.  Shares of the new company (i.e., SpinCo), which will be dubbed FedEx Freight Corporation, will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “FDXF”. RemainCo, which will retain its current corporate moniker as well as ticker (“FDX”) intends to retain an up to 19.9% stake in the soon-to-be standalone Freight business.  For its part, the Freight business will hold an investor day, which will purportedly include more granular near- and medium-term financial guidance, on April 8, 2026.  

As clients likely well-know, we have been vocally bullish on this impending separation since its announcement (when shares were trading around ~$265 per share); in that context, given recent stock price performance it seems elementary to suggest that to some degree the seemingly obvious multiple arbitrage opportunity (i.e., parcel versus LTL multiples) has narrowed/been pulled forward over the last six-months.  That said, we still think the transaction will unlock incremental value. 

On a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts basis, we value FedEx at $429.50 per share, comprised of $349.50 per share of value from RemainCo (i.e., parcel) and $64 per share from SpinCo (i.e., freight).  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimate we recommend the pre-spin purchase of FDX (where we see incremental upside from upward revisions at Freight, potentially catalyzed by the upcoming investor day,  as well at Parcel, given its FCF generation potential).  On a post spin basis, assuming a 3-for-1 distribution ratio and the Parent’s initial retention of a 19.9% stake in SpinCo, we value standalone FedEx (RemainCo) and FedEx Freight (SpinCo) at $356.50 and $64 per share, respectively. 

 

Radar Screen – May 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Johnson Controls International (JCI)*, Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY), The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc. (VSAT), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*added this month

Spin-Off Report Calendar – April 2026

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.

Spin-Off Report Compendium – November 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.

European Spin-Off Compendium- April 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 

Bits & Pieces – April 2026

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – May 8, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 

HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):

RECENT INITIATIONS:

LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – TriMas Coporation (TRS) – May 4, 2026

Close Coverage of TRS, effective as of today’s market bell, with the sale of its Aerospace business completed in March 2026 and shares trading roughly in-line with our fair value estimate (FVE)

 

UPDATE – NPK International (NPKI) – May 1, 2026

NPKI modestly tops consensus in 1Q 2026 & raises the high-end of full-year 2026E guidance; announces plans to invest an incremental $40-$45 million toward a ~50% expansion in manufacturing capacity, which should come on-line in mid-2027; fair value estimate increased to ~$17.50 per share

 

UPDATE – Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX)  – April 30, 2026

GTX tops consensus in 1Q 2026 and raises the high-end of full-year 2026 guidance w/ the mid-point of its FCF outlook implying a 10.5%yield; still sees the non-auto business ramping in 2027 with Industrial E-Cooling solutions comprising >5% of total sales by 2030; FVE increased to $23.50 per share

 

UPDATE – Luxfer Holdings (LXFR)  – April 29, 2026

LXFR reports 1Q 2026 results; modestly raises full-year EPS guidance and indicates a material acceleration to “robust double-digit earnings growth” looking into 2027; fair value remains $16.50 per share

 

Radar Screen – May 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Johnson Controls International (JCI)*, Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY), The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc. (VSAT), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*New this month

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – May 1, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.

UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Qnity Electronics (Q)  – May 1, 2026

Close Coverage of Post-Spin Qnity (Q) with Shares Trading Roughly In-Line with our FVE, Effective as of Today’s Market Close

 

UPDATE: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 9, 2026

FDXF Holds its Inaugural Investor Day; Targets “Medium-Term” Growth in Sales & Adj. EBIT of 4%-6% & 10%-12%, Respectively, w/ ~$1 Billion of Annual FCF Generation; FVE Raised to $435 per share (from $429.50 per share), Maintain Pre-Spin BUY

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 6, 2026

On December 19, 2024, FedEx Corporation (FDX), a global transportation company headquartered in Memphis, TN, announced that following an internal strategic assessment of its North American less-than-truckload (LTL) or Freight division the company intended to pursue a separation of its core-Parcel and Freight (LTL) businesses into two standalone, publicly-traded companies via a tax-free spin-off.  Roughly in line with management’s initial expectations, in terms of timing, the transaction is expected to be completed on June 1, 2026, subject to customary conditions, including regulatory and final Board approvals.  Shares of the new company (i.e., SpinCo), which will be dubbed FedEx Freight Corporation, will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “FDXF”. RemainCo, which will retain its current corporate moniker as well as ticker (“FDX”) intends to retain an up to 19.9% stake in the soon-to-be standalone Freight business.  For its part, the Freight business will hold an investor day, which will purportedly include more granular near- and medium-term financial guidance, on April 8, 2026.  

As clients likely well-know, we have been vocally bullish on this impending separation since its announcement (when shares were trading around ~$265 per share); in that context, given recent stock price performance it seems elementary to suggest that to some degree the seemingly obvious multiple arbitrage opportunity (i.e., parcel versus LTL multiples) has narrowed/been pulled forward over the last six-months.  That said, we still think the transaction will unlock incremental value. 

On a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts basis, we value FedEx at $429.50 per share, comprised of $349.50 per share of value from RemainCo (i.e., parcel) and $64 per share from SpinCo (i.e., freight).  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimate we recommend the pre-spin purchase of FDX (where we see incremental upside from upward revisions at Freight, potentially catalyzed by the upcoming investor day,  as well at Parcel, given its FCF generation potential).  On a post spin basis, assuming a 3-for-1 distribution ratio and the Parent’s initial retention of a 19.9% stake in SpinCo, we value standalone FedEx (RemainCo) and FedEx Freight (SpinCo) at $356.50 and $64 per share, respectively. 

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*added this month

Spin-Off Report Calendar – April 2026

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.

Spin-Off Report Compendium – November 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.

European Spin-Off Compendium- April 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 

Bits & Pieces – April 2026

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – May 1, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 

HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):

RECENT INITIATIONS:

LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – NPK International (NPKI) – May 1, 2026

NPKI modestly tops consensus in 1Q 2026 & raises the high-end of full-year 2026E guidance; announces plans to invest an incremental $40-$45 million toward a ~50% expansion in manufacturing capacity, which should come on-line in mid-2027; fair value estimate increased to ~$17.50 per share

 

UPDATE – Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX)  – April 30, 2026

GTX tops consensus in 1Q 2026 and raises the high-end of full-year 2026 guidance w/ the mid-point of its FCF outlook implying a 10.5%yield; still sees the non-auto business ramping in 2027 with Industrial E-Cooling solutions comprising >5% of total sales by 2030; FVE increased to $23.50 per share

 

UPDATE – Luxfer Holdings (LXFR)  – April 29, 2026

LXFR reports 1Q 2026 results; modestly raises full-year EPS guidance and indicates a material acceleration to “robust double-digit earnings growth” looking into 2027; fair value remains $16.50 per share

 

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*New this month

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – April 24, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.

UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 9, 2026

FDXF Holds its Inaugural Investor Day; Targets “Medium-Term” Growth in Sales & Adj. EBIT of 4%-6% & 10%-12%, Respectively, w/ ~$1 Billion of Annual FCF Generation; FVE Raised to $435 per share (from $429.50 per share), Maintain Pre-Spin BUY

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 6, 2026

On December 19, 2024, FedEx Corporation (FDX), a global transportation company headquartered in Memphis, TN, announced that following an internal strategic assessment of its North American less-than-truckload (LTL) or Freight division the company intended to pursue a separation of its core-Parcel and Freight (LTL) businesses into two standalone, publicly-traded companies via a tax-free spin-off.  Roughly in line with management’s initial expectations, in terms of timing, the transaction is expected to be completed on June 1, 2026, subject to customary conditions, including regulatory and final Board approvals.  Shares of the new company (i.e., SpinCo), which will be dubbed FedEx Freight Corporation, will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “FDXF”. RemainCo, which will retain its current corporate moniker as well as ticker (“FDX”) intends to retain an up to 19.9% stake in the soon-to-be standalone Freight business.  For its part, the Freight business will hold an investor day, which will purportedly include more granular near- and medium-term financial guidance, on April 8, 2026.  

As clients likely well-know, we have been vocally bullish on this impending separation since its announcement (when shares were trading around ~$265 per share); in that context, given recent stock price performance it seems elementary to suggest that to some degree the seemingly obvious multiple arbitrage opportunity (i.e., parcel versus LTL multiples) has narrowed/been pulled forward over the last six-months.  That said, we still think the transaction will unlock incremental value. 

On a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts basis, we value FedEx at $429.50 per share, comprised of $349.50 per share of value from RemainCo (i.e., parcel) and $64 per share from SpinCo (i.e., freight).  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimate we recommend the pre-spin purchase of FDX (where we see incremental upside from upward revisions at Freight, potentially catalyzed by the upcoming investor day,  as well at Parcel, given its FCF generation potential).  On a post spin basis, assuming a 3-for-1 distribution ratio and the Parent’s initial retention of a 19.9% stake in SpinCo, we value standalone FedEx (RemainCo) and FedEx Freight (SpinCo) at $356.50 and $64 per share, respectively. 

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*added this month

Spin-Off Report Calendar – April 2026

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.

Spin-Off Report Compendium – November 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.

European Spin-Off Compendium- December 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 

Bits & Pieces – April 2026

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – April 24, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 

HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):

RECENT INITIATIONS:

LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – Caesars Entertainment Inc. (CZR) – March 12, 2026

CZR spiked in late-day trading due to an unconfirmed press report out of the WSJ that the company had received take-over offers of $33 & $34 per share

 

UPDATE – XPO, Inc. (XPO) – February 27, 2026

Close coverage of XPO with shares trading roughly in line with our fair value estimate (FVE), as of today’s market bell

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*New this month

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – April 17, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.

UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 9, 2026

FDXF Holds its Inaugural Investor Day; Targets “Medium-Term” Growth in Sales & Adj. EBIT of 4%-6% & 10%-12%, Respectively, w/ ~$1 Billion of Annual FCF Generation; FVE Raised to $435 per share (from $429.50 per share), Maintain Pre-Spin BUY

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 6, 2026

On December 19, 2024, FedEx Corporation (FDX), a global transportation company headquartered in Memphis, TN, announced that following an internal strategic assessment of its North American less-than-truckload (LTL) or Freight division the company intended to pursue a separation of its core-Parcel and Freight (LTL) businesses into two standalone, publicly-traded companies via a tax-free spin-off.  Roughly in line with management’s initial expectations, in terms of timing, the transaction is expected to be completed on June 1, 2026, subject to customary conditions, including regulatory and final Board approvals.  Shares of the new company (i.e., SpinCo), which will be dubbed FedEx Freight Corporation, will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “FDXF”. RemainCo, which will retain its current corporate moniker as well as ticker (“FDX”) intends to retain an up to 19.9% stake in the soon-to-be standalone Freight business.  For its part, the Freight business will hold an investor day, which will purportedly include more granular near- and medium-term financial guidance, on April 8, 2026.  

As clients likely well-know, we have been vocally bullish on this impending separation since its announcement (when shares were trading around ~$265 per share); in that context, given recent stock price performance it seems elementary to suggest that to some degree the seemingly obvious multiple arbitrage opportunity (i.e., parcel versus LTL multiples) has narrowed/been pulled forward over the last six-months.  That said, we still think the transaction will unlock incremental value. 

On a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts basis, we value FedEx at $429.50 per share, comprised of $349.50 per share of value from RemainCo (i.e., parcel) and $64 per share from SpinCo (i.e., freight).  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimate we recommend the pre-spin purchase of FDX (where we see incremental upside from upward revisions at Freight, potentially catalyzed by the upcoming investor day,  as well at Parcel, given its FCF generation potential).  On a post spin basis, assuming a 3-for-1 distribution ratio and the Parent’s initial retention of a 19.9% stake in SpinCo, we value standalone FedEx (RemainCo) and FedEx Freight (SpinCo) at $356.50 and $64 per share, respectively. 

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*added this month

Spin-Off Report Calendar – April 2026

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.

Spin-Off Report Compendium – November 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.

European Spin-Off Compendium- December 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 

Bits & Pieces – April 2026

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – April 10, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.

UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 9, 2026

FDXF Holds its Inaugural Investor Day; Targets “Medium-Term” Growth in Sales & Adj. EBIT of 4%-6% & 10%-12%, Respectively, w/ ~$1 Billion of Annual FCF Generation; FVE Raised to $435 per share (from $429.50 per share), Maintain Pre-Spin BUY

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT: FedEx Corp. (FDX)  – April 6, 2026

On December 19, 2024, FedEx Corporation (FDX), a global transportation company headquartered in Memphis, TN, announced that following an internal strategic assessment of its North American less-than-truckload (LTL) or Freight division the company intended to pursue a separation of its core-Parcel and Freight (LTL) businesses into two standalone, publicly-traded companies via a tax-free spin-off.  Roughly in line with management’s initial expectations, in terms of timing, the transaction is expected to be completed on June 1, 2026, subject to customary conditions, including regulatory and final Board approvals.  Shares of the new company (i.e., SpinCo), which will be dubbed FedEx Freight Corporation, will trade on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker “FDXF”. RemainCo, which will retain its current corporate moniker as well as ticker (“FDX”) intends to retain an up to 19.9% stake in the soon-to-be standalone Freight business.  For its part, the Freight business will hold an investor day, which will purportedly include more granular near- and medium-term financial guidance, on April 8, 2026.  

As clients likely well-know, we have been vocally bullish on this impending separation since its announcement (when shares were trading around ~$265 per share); in that context, given recent stock price performance it seems elementary to suggest that to some degree the seemingly obvious multiple arbitrage opportunity (i.e., parcel versus LTL multiples) has narrowed/been pulled forward over the last six-months.  That said, we still think the transaction will unlock incremental value. 

On a pre-spin sum-of-the-parts basis, we value FedEx at $429.50 per share, comprised of $349.50 per share of value from RemainCo (i.e., parcel) and $64 per share from SpinCo (i.e., freight).  Given the implied upside to our fair value estimate we recommend the pre-spin purchase of FDX (where we see incremental upside from upward revisions at Freight, potentially catalyzed by the upcoming investor day,  as well at Parcel, given its FCF generation potential).  On a post spin basis, assuming a 3-for-1 distribution ratio and the Parent’s initial retention of a 19.9% stake in SpinCo, we value standalone FedEx (RemainCo) and FedEx Freight (SpinCo) at $356.50 and $64 per share, respectively. 

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*added this month

Spin-Off Report Calendar – April 2026

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.

Spin-Off Report Compendium – November 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.

European Spin-Off Compendium- December 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 

Bits & Pieces – March 2026

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – April 17, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides summaries of recent publications from Hidden Opportunities including links to the full-length research reports.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas. 

HIGH-CONVICTION RECOMMENDATIONS (LONG):

RECENT INITIATIONS:

LATEST PUBLICATIONS & UPDATES:

UPDATE – Caesars Entertainment Inc. (CZR) – March 12, 2026

CZR spiked in late-day trading due to an unconfirmed press report out of the WSJ that the company had received take-over offers of $33 & $34 per share

 

UPDATE – XPO, Inc. (XPO) – February 27, 2026

Close coverage of XPO with shares trading roughly in line with our fair value estimate (FVE), as of today’s market bell

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*New this month

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566

The Weekly Wrap-Up – April 2, 2026

The Weekly Wrap-Up provides a list of upcoming spin-offs and summaries of recent publications.  If you haven’t engaged with the research over the past seven days, the Weekly Wrap-Up will quickly update you on our newest and highest conviction ideas.

UPCOMING U.S. SPIN-OFFS AND EXPECTED COMPLETION DATES:

RECENT PUBLICATIONS:

UPDATE: Aptiv PLC (APTV) – April 1, 2026

Aptiv Completes the Spin-Off of Versigent; Initially Rate Post-Spin APTV at BUY and VGNT at NEUTRAL

 

UPDATE: Dupont de Nemours (DD) – March 18, 2026

Post-Spin DD Proposes a Reverse Stock Split; Expects to Close the ~$1.8 billion Sale of Aramids on April 1st; Drop Coverage

 

COMPREHENSIVE REPORT: Aptiv PLC (APTV)  – March 13, 2026

In January 2025, Aptiv PLC, a Dublin-based auto supplier, announced its intention to separate its Electrical Distribution Systems (EDS) business into an independent publicly traded company, to be called Versigent, through a tax-free transaction. Shareholders will receive one share of Versigent for every three Aptiv shares held on the record date of March 17, 2026. The spin-off received final board approval on March 5, 2026, with Versigent shares expected to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the symbol “VGNT,” with regular-way trading commencing on April 1, 2026. Versigent, headquartered in the United States, will be led by CEO Joseph Liotine, who served as Executive Vice President & President of the EDS business since FY 2024.  The separation is expected to simplify Aptiv’s corporate structure and sharpen the company’s focus on high-growth, technology-driven automotive systems, while allowing the EDS (i.e., Versigent) business to pursue its own operating and capital allocation priorities as a standalone manufacturing enterprise. The transaction is expected to improve valuation transparency by addressing the conglomerate discount that has historically been assigned to the consolidated company.

For our part, we value Aptiv on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) basis, applying median EV/EBITDA multiples to management’s average FY 2026E guidance. To that end, post-spin Versigent is valued at ~$2.4 billion using a 4x multiple while RemainCo is valued at ~$18.3 billion, using peer-aligned multiples of 10x. Adjusting for net debt, pension liabilities, minority interest and investments results in a combined equity value of ~$20.7 billion, or $97.50 per share, implying ~39% upside from current levels.  In effect, Aptiv’s current valuation suggests that investors can acquire the RemainCo advanced mobility technology platform and receive the Versigent spin-off at little to no incremental cost.

UPDATE: Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – March 3, 2026

Close Coverage of HON with Shares Trading Roughly In-Line with our Current Fair Value Estimate (FVE) Following Strong Post-Spin Price Appreciation; Coverage will Resume ahead of the 3Q 2026 Aerospace Separation

 

UPDATE: Medtronic plc (MDT) – February 26, 2026

MDT Launches its IPO Roadshow for MiniMed Group (i.e., the Diabetes Business); still plans a potential Tax-Free Split Off Later in 2026

 

Radar Screen – April 2026

Monthly publication providing ongoing analysis on companies where we see potential for a value-unlocking event

Companies discussed this month: Barrick Mining Corp. (B), Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR), Coty Inc. (COTY), Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Inc. (GT), Luxfer Holdings (LXFR), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Matthews International Corp. (MATW), Netgear Inc. (NTGR), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Surgery Partners Inc. (SGRY)*, The Cooper Companies (COO), The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG), Viasat Inc.  (VSAT), XPO Inc. (XPO), Terex Corporation (TEX)

*added this month

Spin-Off Report Calendar – April 2026

Published monthly, The Spin-Off Calendar provides one-page summaries of every spin-off under coverage from the announcement date, followed by the filing of the Form 10 and continuing 60 days post completion.

Spin-Off Report Compendium – November 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations.

European Spin-Off Compendium- December 2025

Murray Stahl’s commentary on various investing themes and single stock recommendations in Europe. 

Bits & Pieces – March 2026

Covers mispriced stub securities, tracking stocks and other arbitrage opportunities.

Product Specialist

Rich Albanese
ralbanese@pcsresearchgroup.com
+1 646-839-5566